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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Milan logo

Atalanta
3 - 2
AC Milan

Lookman (38', 55'), Muriel (90+5')
Ederson (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Giroud (45+3'), Jovic (80')
Reijnders (71'), Calabria (80'), Jovic (88'), Bennacer (90+2')
Calabria (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Torino 3-0 Atalanta
Monday, December 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Frosinone
Saturday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 AC Milan

 Though Milan have had the edge over Atalanta in recent years, both teams are hampered by absences at the moment and may ultimately settle for a point. The hosts have been struggling to keep their back door shut, while the Rossoneri remain some way short of their best. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
46.69% (1.616 1.62) 25.73% (-0.113 -0.11) 27.58% (-1.505 -1.51)
Both teams to score 51.77% (-0.64599999999999 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16% (-0.373 -0.37)51.84% (0.371 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4% (-0.325 -0.32)73.59% (0.32299999999999 0.32)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (0.58600000000001 0.59)22.19% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (0.874 0.87)55.6% (-0.875 -0.88)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (-1.343 -1.34)33.46% (1.341 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (-1.495 -1.5)70.09% (1.492 1.49)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 46.68%
    AC Milan 27.58%
    Draw 25.72%
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 11.17% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.409 0.41)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.139 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.275 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.082 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.129 0.13)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 46.68%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.43% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.281 -0.28)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 27.58%

How you voted: Atalanta vs AC Milan

Atalanta BC
29.0%
Draw
27.0%
AC Milan
44.0%
100
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Atalanta
Musso (25' og.), Messias (86')
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Atalanta
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AC Milan
Malinovskyi (29')
Toloi (16'), Hateboer (48'), Djimsiti (78'), de Roon (90+6')
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Pioli (23'), Rebic (45+1'), Tonali (75'), Hernandez (78')
> Preview
May 15, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 37
AC Milan
2-0
Atalanta
Leao (56'), Hernandez (75')
Giroud (44'), Kessie (67'), Bennacer (90+2')

Koopmeiners (53'), Malinovskyi (87')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Atalanta
2-3
AC Milan
Zapata (86' pen.), Pasalic (90+4')
de Roon (40')
Calabria (1'), Tonali (43'), Leao (78')
Diaz (42'), Tomori (52'), Messias (85'), Leao (88'), Pioli (90+4')
> Preview
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Atalanta
0-2
AC Milan

Freuler (47'), de Roon (69'), Toloi (86')
de Roon (90+1')
Kessie (43' pen., 90+2')
Mandzukic (82'), Krunic (90+1'), Dalot (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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