Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 46.15%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 26.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.