MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 04:25:43| >> :120:5688:5688:
Defensa y Justicia
Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Oct 4, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
0 - 0
LDU Quito


Lopez (14'), Sant'Anna (21'), Pratto (24'), Soto (45+1'), Solari (90')
FT

Guerrero (5'), Zubeldia (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Defensa y Justicia and LDU Quito, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Defensa
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Argentine Primera Division

LDU Quito

All competitions
Last Game: LDU Quito 3-0 Defensa
Wednesday, September 27 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Defensa y Justicia 2-1 LDU Quito (LDU Quito win 4-2 on aggregate)

 With all the pressure heaped onto the visitors who will try to hold onto a three-goal lead, Defensa should be free to go all out for the win. While Quito are likely to show up with a rather defensive gameplan, the margin currently separating the sides should be insurmountable for the hosts to overcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawLDU Quito
45.15% (-0.366 -0.37) 25.45% (-0.199 -0.2) 29.4% (0.564 0.56)
Both teams to score 53.85% (0.979 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.32% (1.113 1.11)49.68% (-1.115 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3% (0.99 0.99)71.7% (-0.991 -0.99)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01% (0.301 0.3)21.98% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.71% (0.45500000000001 0.46)55.28% (-0.457 -0.46)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02% (0.989 0.99)30.97% (-0.991 -0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72% (1.143 1.14)67.27% (-1.145 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 45.15%
    LDU Quito 29.4%
    Draw 25.44%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 45.15%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.314 -0.31)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.145 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.68% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.123 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.112 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 29.4%

How you voted: Defensa vs LDU Quito

Defensa y Justicia
53.3%
Draw
13.3%
LDU Quito
33.3%
15
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2023 11pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
LDU Quito
3-0
Defensa
Guerrero (17', 42'), Piovi (88')

Barbona (35')
> Preview
May 19, 2022 1.30am
Group Stage
LDU Quito
2-2
Defensa
Quinteros (5'), Angulo (71')
Alvarado (47'), Ayala (75')
Albertengo (29', 44')
Cardona (12'), Alanis (45+1'), Albertengo (66'), Duarte (77'), Pieres (90+2')
Apr 28, 2022 11.15pm
Group Stage
Defensa
1-2
LDU Quito
Albertengo (82')
Tripichio (85'), Fontana (90+1'), Albertengo (90+1')
Alvarado (55', 87')
Arce (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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