Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
AVS0 - 5Porto
We said: AVS 0-3 Porto
Porto have picked up two impressive cup victories since their last league outing and will be licking their lips as they take on an inexperienced AVA side who have struggled to impose themselves in the top flight. While AVS can take pride in their start to life in the big leagues and will look to cause an upset on Monday, they are no match for Bruno's men, who we are backing to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for AVS had a probability of 13.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.84%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AVS | Draw | Porto |
13.55% ( 0.02) | 20.89% ( 0.01) | 65.56% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.95% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
