Coverage of the KNVB Beker Second Round clash between AZ Alkmaar and Groningen.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-2 AZ
Sunday, December 15 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, December 15 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Groningen
Sunday, December 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, December 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 16.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Groningen |
64.36% ( 0.18) | 19.18% ( -0.05) | 16.46% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
