Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 11.15am UK
AFAS Stadion
AZ4 - 0Excelsior
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sparta 1-1 AZ
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 5-2 Excelsior
Sunday, March 3 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, March 3 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 SBV Excelsior
AZ's form has been indifferent in recent months, but they are still in a commanding position to qualify for Europe once again, meaning they will be determined to return to winning ways. Excelsior have lost five straight matches and we are predicting a sixth successive defeat for the visitors, even if they have enough attacking quality to make an interesting game of it. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 75.37%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 9.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
75.37% ( 0.78) | 14.92% ( -0.11) | 9.71% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( -2.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
