Brasileiro | Gameweek 29
Oct 5, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia0 - 2Flamengo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Flamengo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Criciuma
Sunday, September 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Corinthians
Thursday, October 3 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, October 3 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bahia | Draw | Flamengo |
43.78% ( 0.13) | 26.65% ( 0.02) | 29.56% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 50.21% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.55% ( -0.12) | 54.45% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.19% ( -0.1) | 75.81% ( 0.1) |
Bahia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.3% ( 0.01) | 24.7% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.76% ( 0.02) | 59.24% ( -0.02) |
Flamengo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.68% ( -0.17) | 33.32% ( 0.17) |