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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 8
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Newport County

Barrow
1 - 0
Newport

Stockton (20')
Ray (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Payne (65'), Bright (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Newport
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-1 Newport County

With Barrow left slightly frustrated by consecutive draws and Newport travelling with momentum in the playoff race, we anticipate an intriguing encounter on Saturday and cannot quite pick a winner, instead opting for a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.

Result
BarrowDrawNewport County
51.24% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 26.15% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.61% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 46.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.93% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)57.07% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.05% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.95% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)22.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)55.86% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 51.23%
    Newport County 22.61%
    Draw 26.15%
BarrowDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 13.63%
2-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.18%
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 51.23%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 9.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.24%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 22.61%

How you voted: Barrow vs Newport

Barrow
48.6%
Draw
25.7%
Newport County
25.7%
35
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Newport
1-1
Barrow
McLoughlin (40')
Delaney (5'), Bennett (14'), Morris (20')
Delaney (43')
Campbell (69' pen.)
Canavan (28'), Gotts (73')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Barrow
0-1
Newport
Demetriou (90+5')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Newport
0-2
Barrow
Gordon (45', 59')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Newport
2-1
Barrow
Telford (2', 12')
Willmott (90+5')
Demetriou (63' og.)
Brough (41'), Banks (59'), Brown (75'), Hutton (81'), Driscoll-Glennon (90+5')
Sep 24, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Barrow
2-1
Newport
Kay (63'), Gordon (78')
Azaz (10')
Farquharson (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe168532014629
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Bromley163851921-217
20Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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