MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 10:36:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Leverkusen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
St Pauli

Wirtz (6'), Tah (21')
Hincapie (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Guilavogui (84')
Guilavogui (37'), Saliakas (75'), Dzwigala (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: St Pauli 3-1 Holstein Kiel
Friday, November 29 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 St Pauli

Considering their injuries in the forward line, Leverkusen could struggle to create many chances in the final third, and St Pauli are unlikely to lose by multiple goals. However, the hosts' record at home is phenomenal, and they are in good form, so it would be surprising if they did not emerge victorious on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 10.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSt Pauli
74.3% (1.349 1.35) 15.18% (-0.529 -0.53) 10.53% (-0.814 -0.81)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.979 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.87% (0.211 0.21)31.13% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.46% (0.246 0.25)52.54% (-0.24 -0.24)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.89% (0.321 0.32)7.11% (-0.315 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.09% (0.82899999999999 0.83)25.91% (-0.823 -0.82)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.7% (-1.261 -1.26)40.3% (1.265 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.08% (-1.165 -1.17)76.93% (1.171 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 74.3%
    St Pauli 10.53%
    Draw 15.18%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSt Pauli
2-0 @ 10.01% (0.211 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 8.82% (0.33 0.33)
3-1 @ 8.02% (0.03 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.83% (0.31 0.31)
4-1 @ 5.3% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 3.08% (0.211 0.21)
5-1 @ 2.8% (0.1 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.41% (-0.035 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.36% (0.114 0.11)
5-2 @ 1.27% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 1.23% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 74.3%
1-1 @ 6.89% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 2.87% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.18%
1-2 @ 3.13% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-1 @ 2.61% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.18% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 10.53%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs St Pauli

Bayer Leverkusen
84.1%
Draw
10.2%
St Pauli
5.7%
88
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!