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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Wolfsburg

Bayern
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Zvonarek (4'), Goretzka (13')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Majer (53'), Lacroix (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Bayern
Wednesday, May 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 2-1 Wolfsburg

 Despite the potential of a European hangover on Sunday, Tuchel's men should secure maximum points to bounce back from two defeats on the trot in all competitions. Wolfsburg have lost 24 and drawn twice in 26 visits to Bayern, and that wretched record is not expected to end this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 12.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
71.96% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 15.71% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 12.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.06% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.51% (0.0019999999999953 0)28.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.34% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.05% (0.00099999999999056 0)6.95% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)35.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)72.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 71.96%
    Wolfsburg 12.33%
    Draw 15.71%
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 8.07% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.57%
4-1 @ 5.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 5.19% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.87% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.79%
5-0 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.49%
6-1 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 71.96%
1-1 @ 6.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.46%
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 15.71%
1-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 2.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 12.33%

How you voted: Bayern vs Wolfsburg

Bayern Munich
83.5%
Draw
9.9%
Wolfsburg
6.6%
91
Head to Head
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Wolfsburg
1-2
Bayern
Arnold (45+1')
Zesiger (11'), Majer (46'), Baku (59'), Tomas (90+1')
Musiala (33'), Kane (43')
Pavlovic (20'), Guerreiro (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
2-4
Bayern
Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

Svanberg (52')
> Preview
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
2-2
Bayern
Wind (45'), Kruse (58')
Kohfeldt (38'), Nmecha (42')
Stanisic (17'), Lewandowski (40')
Upamecano (77'), Richards (88')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bayern
4-0
Wolfsburg
Muller (7'), Upamecano (57'), Sane (59'), Lewandowski (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242
> Bundesliga Full Table


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