Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 21, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica4 - 1AVS
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 0-1 Benfica
Sunday, December 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, December 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Dumiense 1-0 AVS
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
We said: Benfica 2-0 AVS
With both sides likely to rotate heavily, it could be quite a low-key affair, with the visitors set to focus on their promotion push from the second tier. The task is rather straightforward for Benfica, all they have to do is avoid a two-goal defeat, but they should stroll to a relatively comfortable victory here on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.4%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for AVS had a probability of 7.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for an AVS win it was 1-2 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | AVS |
79.4% ( -0.09) | 12.88% ( 0.05) | 7.71% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
