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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)
Bristol City

Blackburn
2 - 1
Bristol City

Sigurdsson (35'), Wharton (52')
Carter (22'), Brittain (85'), Szmodics (88'), Travis (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sykes (60')
Knight (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 3-1 Bristol City

Blackburn were taught a lesson of ruthlessness by Farke's Leeds on the weekend, and we feel that Rovers could put their learnings into practice against Bristol City. The Robins have failed to see a drastic improvement results-wise since the appointment of Manning, so we are expecting a loss for the visitors at Ewood Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBristol City
42.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.45% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01) 31.62% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.98% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.27% (0.037999999999997 0.04)48.73% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.16% (0.034000000000002 0.03)70.84% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)22.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76% (0.012999999999998 0.01)56.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.032000000000011 0.03)28.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04)64.84% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 42.92%
    Bristol City 31.62%
    Draw 25.45%
Blackburn RoversDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.62%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Bristol City

Blackburn Rovers
81.8%
Draw
6.1%
Bristol City
12.1%
33
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Blackburn
2-3
Bristol City
Dolan (71'), Brereton Diaz (90+3')
Wharton (7'), Pickering (67')
Conway (42'), Wells (55', 73')
James (57'), Scott (58')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Blackburn
0-1
Bristol City

Khadra (49')
Weimann (90+2')
Scott (26'), Bentley (87'), Weimann (88')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Bristol City
1-1
Blackburn
O'Dowda (34')
Williams (71'), Massengo (74')
Brereton Diaz (75')
Nyambe (33'), Rothwell (82')
Mar 17, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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