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Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
New Dundas Park
Falkirk

Bonnyrigg Rose
2 - 1
Falkirk

Doan (4'), Barrett (90')
Currie (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Henderson (30')
Spencer (24')
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 1-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Edinburgh 2-2 Falkirk
Saturday, January 13 at 3.30pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 20.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win it was 2-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticDrawFalkirk
20.96%22.26%56.79%
Both teams to score 55.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.76%43.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.36%65.64%
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48%34.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.77%71.24%
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.98%15.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.5%43.5%
Score Analysis
    Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 20.96%
    Falkirk 56.79%
    Draw 22.25%
Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticDrawFalkirk
2-1 @ 5.56%
1-0 @ 5.52%
2-0 @ 2.93%
3-1 @ 1.97%
3-2 @ 1.87%
3-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 20.96%
1-1 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 5.27%
0-0 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.25%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-1 @ 9.83%
0-2 @ 9.32%
1-3 @ 6.26%
0-3 @ 5.89%
2-3 @ 3.33%
1-4 @ 2.97%
0-4 @ 2.79%
2-4 @ 1.58%
1-5 @ 1.13%
0-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 56.79%

Head to Head
Jul 20, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Bonnyrigg Rose
1-1
Falkirk
Falkirk win 4-2 on penalties
Turner (42' pen.)
Barrett (52'), Young (67'), Stewart (74'), Brett (90+1')
Morrison (9')
Nesbitt (43'), Mackie (77'), Wilson (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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