Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
50.48% ( -0.25) | 23.83% ( 0.21) | 25.69% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 56.27% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.83% ( -0.88) | 45.17% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.49% ( -0.85) | 67.52% ( 0.85) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.05% ( -0.42) | 17.95% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.22% ( -0.74) | 48.78% ( 0.74) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.58% ( -0.43) | 31.42% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.2% ( -0.5) | 67.8% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.59% Total : 50.48% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 25.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |