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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 10, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Swansea logo

Bristol City
1 - 0
Swansea

Dickie (73')
Sykes (71'), Wells (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tymon (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, March 5 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Swansea
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Swansea City

Despite their mid-table status, there may be some nerves on show at Ashton Gate as each team looks to move further clear of the bottom three. However, given the competitive nature when these two teams meet, do not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
38.89% (0.16500000000001 0.17) 26.01% (0.289 0.29) 35.1% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)
Both teams to score 54.08% (-1.034 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.68% (-1.301 -1.3)50.32% (1.306 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (-1.165 -1.17)72.26% (1.17 1.17)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.504 -0.5)25.37% (0.509 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.698 -0.7)60.17% (0.70200000000001 0.7)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47% (-0.886 -0.89)27.53% (0.891 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96% (-1.16 -1.16)63.04% (1.165 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 38.89%
    Swansea City 35.1%
    Draw 26%
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.361 0.36)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.155 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 38.89%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.361 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 9.01% (0.249 0.25)
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.81% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 35.1%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Swansea

Bristol City
30.8%
Draw
38.5%
Swansea City
30.8%
13
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cullen (10')
Naughton (45+2'), Ginnelly (57'), Paterson (90')
Sykes (48'), Bell (59')
Naismith (45+3'), Dickie (86')
Mar 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Bristol City
Cullen (34'), Ntcham (77')
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cooper (73')
Sykes (62'), Bell (112')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Oct 29, 2022 12pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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