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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Barnsley

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Barnsley

Cooper Love (88')
Vancooten (68'), Akoto (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Connell (36'), Humphrys (90')
Earl (3'), Durand de Gevigney (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Man Utd 7-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in EFL Cup

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Barnsley

While recent results suggest that Barnsley might have taken a hit to their confidence after what was a solid enough start to the season, Robinson will be hoping for a response from his players as they look to keep up with the leading pack in League One. Burton have a proclivity for drawing games at present, but with a few key players still absent for the Brewers, we expect the away side to narrowly take all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
45.59% (-0.105 -0.1) 24.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 29.43% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.41% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (0.086999999999996 0.09)47.65% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (0.081 0.08)69.84% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-0.012 -0.01)20.94% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)53.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09% (0.123 0.12)29.91% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.99% (0.15 0.15)66.01% (-0.149 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 45.59%
    Barnsley 29.43%
    Draw 24.97%
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 45.59%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 29.43%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Barnsley

Burton Albion
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Barnsley
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 42
Burton Albion
1-3
Barnsley
Powell (37')
McAtee (54', 64'), Connell (69')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (21', 68')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (36', 73')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 41
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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