La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
We said: Cadiz 1-2 Real Sociedad
Cadiz will certainly fight hard this season, particularly on home turf, in their bid to avoid another tight battle for survival, but we see them falling just short on Sunday.
Even without Oyarzabal, La Real have more than enough to hurt their hosts, and, knowing the importance of a winning start, we back Alguacil's side to pick up all three points.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.19% . A win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.39%) and 1-2 (8.15%) . The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
Result Cadiz Draw Real Sociedad 29.04% ( 0.17) 28.77% ( 0.11) 42.19% ( -0.27)
Both teams to score 44.03% ( -0.2)
37.84% ( -0.3) 62.16% ( 0.3)
18.14% ( -0.22) 81.85% ( 0.22)
62.12% ( -0.03) 37.87% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25.35% ( -0.03) 74.65% ( 0.03)
70.87% ( -0.29) 29.13% ( 0.29)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.94% ( -0.37) 65.06% ( 0.37)
Cadiz 29.03%
Real Sociedad 42.19%
Draw 28.76%
Cadiz Draw Real Sociedad 1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 29.03% 1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.76% 0-1 @ 13.6% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.52% Total : 42.19%
How you voted: Cadiz vs Real Sociedad
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rhs 2.0
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