Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Casa Pia3 - 1Moreirense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, August 31 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, August 31 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Benfica
Friday, August 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, August 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Casa Pia 1-2 Moreirense
Despite Casa Pia's marginal success over struggling Estrela before the international break, Moreirense are backed to return to winning ways this weekend, keen to bounce back from dropping points to superior opposition before the pause and exploit Casapianos' soft underbelly. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Moreirense |
38.16% ( 0.02) | 28.92% ( 0.01) | 32.91% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.85% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
