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Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Birmingham logo

Charlton
1 - 0
Birmingham

Godden (54')
Ramsay (7'), Coventry (81'), Campbell (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Anderson (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Huddersfield
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-2 Birmingham City

After three straight defeats and a poor start against Bristol Rovers on Tuesday, we are expecting a response from Charlton at The Valley this weekend. That being said, Birmingham are in sensational form and should, on paper, be comfortable winners in the capital, although we believe that Blues will only manage a narrow success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBirmingham City
29.17% (-0.674 -0.67) 25.84% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 45% (0.63 0.63)
Both teams to score 52.48% (-0.523 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.59% (-0.503 -0.5)51.41% (0.504 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (-0.442 -0.44)73.23% (0.444 0.44)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (-0.748 -0.75)32.03% (0.749 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (-0.863 -0.86)68.5% (0.86399999999999 0.86)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.21% (0.079999999999998 0.08)22.79% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.51% (0.116 0.12)56.49% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 29.17%
    Birmingham City 44.99%
    Draw 25.84%
Charlton AthleticDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.73% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.17%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.98% (0.196 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.94% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 44.99%

How you voted: Charlton vs Birmingham

Charlton Athletic
11.1%
Draw
11.1%
Birmingham City
77.8%
36
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Charlton
0-1
Birmingham

Gillesphey (6'), Berry (15')
Khela (32')
Anderson (27'), Sanderson (53')
Sanderson (78')
Jul 15, 2020 6pm
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Charlton
0-1
Birmingham

Pearce (35')
Bellingham (52')
Davis (82'), Dean (90'), Alvaro (97')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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