MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 17:33:54| >> :60:33:33:
Club Libertad
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolas Leoz

Libertad
1 - 1
Ameliano

Espinoza (58')
Aguilar (59'), Caballero (62'), Fabian Fernandez Benitez (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Samudio (23')
Javier Baez (16'), Maiz (26'), Contrera (29'), Leonel Benitez (54'), Rossi (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Club Libertad and Sportivo Ameliano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

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Last Game: U. Catolica 1-1 Libertad
Wednesday, July 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Sportivo Ameliano

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Last Game: Athletico PR 0-1 Ameliano
Thursday, May 30 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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We said: Club Libertad 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano

 While Sportivo Ameliano came through the group stages with flying colours, their form since then has been dismal, particularly in attack, where they have failed to score in four of their last five games. Libertad have not been at their absolute best in recent weeks either, but their record against this opponent is hard to ignore, and we feel they will secure a first-leg lead in this tie fairly comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Sportivo Ameliano win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Club LibertadDrawSportivo Ameliano
58.7% (-0.061 -0.06) 23.1% (0.077000000000002 0.08) 18.2% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.4% (-0.267 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.4% (-0.341 -0.34)50.6% (0.338 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.48% (-0.304 -0.3)72.51% (0.29900000000001 0.3)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06% (-0.145 -0.14)16.94% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.99% (-0.253 -0.25)47.01% (0.25 0.25)
Sportivo Ameliano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.27% (-0.221 -0.22)41.72% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.8% (-0.194 -0.19)78.19% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Club Libertad 58.69%
    Sportivo Ameliano 18.2%
    Draw 23.09%
Club LibertadDrawSportivo Ameliano
1-0 @ 12.54% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 11.14% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.93% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 58.69%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.095 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.09%
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.047 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 18.2%

How you voted: Libertad vs Ameliano

Club Libertad
88.2%
Draw
11.8%
Sportivo Ameliano
0.0%
17
rhs 2.0
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