Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.