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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Sunderland has a probability of 35.11% and a draw has a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Sunderland win is 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.88%).
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Sunderland |
37.72% ( 0.11) | 27.17% ( -0.08) | 35.11% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.31% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.9% ( 0.3) | 55.09% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.65% ( 0.25) | 76.35% ( -0.25) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.73% ( 0.2) | 28.27% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.01% ( 0.26) | 63.99% ( -0.26) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.15% ( 0.13) | 29.85% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.06% ( 0.16) | 65.94% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 37.72% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 55 |
3 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
4 | Sunderland | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 41 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
12 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 35 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 34 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 32 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
17 | Millwall | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 27 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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