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Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
K Park Training Academy
Cove Rangers

East Kilbride
3 - 2
Cove Rangers

Livingstone (3'), Leitch (87'), Boyd (90+3')
Lockie (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Megginson (14'), Gaffney (84')
Doyle (26')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between East Kilbride and Cove Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

East Kilbride

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: East Stirling 2-2 East Kilbride (1-3 pen.)
Wednesday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Cove Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Cove Rangers 1-0 Montrose
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.92%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Kilbride would win this match.

Result
East KilbrideDrawCove Rangers
48.01% (-0.061 -0.06) 21.43% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 30.56% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 68.99% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.85% (0.064999999999998 0.06)30.15% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.62% (0.076000000000001 0.08)51.38% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
East Kilbride Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)13.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.95% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)40.05% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Cove Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (0.070999999999998 0.07)20.47% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07% (0.111 0.11)52.93% (-0.105 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    East Kilbride 48.01%
    Cove Rangers 30.56%
    Draw 21.43%
East KilbrideDrawCove Rangers
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.48% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 48.01%
1-1 @ 8.7% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.97% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.71% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 21.43%
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.69% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 30.56%

Head to Head
May 4, 2019 3pm
Cove Rangers
3-0
East Kilbride
Megginson (27', 40'), Masson (75')
Scott (34')

Coll (45')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
East Kilbride
1-2
Cove Rangers
Longworth (92')
Milne (2'), Ross (34')
rhs 2.0
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