Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
25.11% ( -0.37) | 25.36% ( -0.2) | 49.52% ( 0.56) |
Both teams to score 50.85% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.94% ( 0.51) | 52.05% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.21% ( 0.44) | 73.78% ( -0.44) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.39% ( -0.03) | 35.6% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.62% ( -0.03) | 72.37% ( 0.03) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.96% ( 0.45) | 21.04% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.17% ( 0.7) | 53.83% ( -0.7) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 25.11% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 49.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |