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Serie A
Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Napoli logo

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Napoli

Biraghi (40'), N'Zola (42')
Mandragora (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rrahmani (8'), Kvaratskhelia (57')
Kvaratskhelia (41'), Cajuste (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Monza
Monday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Last Game: Napoli 0-2 Bologna
Saturday, May 11 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Napoli

 While Osimhen has not quite hit the same heights as his 2022-23 Capocannoniere-winning season, his absence would be a significant blow to Napoli's chances of ending their barren winless run, and rearguard nous on the road often eludes the visitors. Fiorentina often struggle to bolt the back door shut at home too, but Italiano's well-stocked squad can counteract any backline mishaps at the other end of the pitch to extinguish Napoli's European hopes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawNapoli
42.61% (-1.461 -1.46) 24.57% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 32.81% (1.478 1.48)
Both teams to score 58.46% (0.713 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (0.663 0.66)44.39% (-0.671 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (0.63999999999999 0.64)66.76% (-0.64800000000001 -0.65)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (-0.38199999999999 -0.38)20.92% (0.375 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35% (-0.596 -0.6)53.64% (0.587 0.59)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (1.248 1.25)26.07% (-1.256 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.88% (1.651 1.65)61.12% (-1.66 -1.66)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 42.61%
    Napoli 32.81%
    Draw 24.57%
FiorentinaDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.353 -0.35)
2-0 @ 6.68% (-0.356 -0.36)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 42.61%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.115 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.234 0.23)
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.204 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.222 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.145 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.165 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.112 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.81%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Napoli

Fiorentina
63.4%
Draw
19.5%
Napoli
17.1%
205
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2024 7pm
Semi-Finals
Napoli
3-0
Fiorentina
Simeone (22'), Zerbin (84', 86')

Biraghi (51')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
1-3
Fiorentina
Osimhen (45+5' pen.)
Simeone (90+1'), Cajuste (90+5')
Brekalo (7'), Bonaventura (63'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Terracciano (45+4'), Martinez (69'), Bonaventura (70'), Ranieri (89')
> Preview
May 7, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
1-0
Fiorentina
Osimhen (74' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Fiorentina
0-0
Napoli
Martinez (60'), Jovic (68')
Zambo Anguissa (3'), Spalletti (19'), Raspadori (90'), Ndombele (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 32
Napoli
2-3
Fiorentina
Mertens (58'), Osimhen (84')
Gonzalez (29'), Ikone (66'), Cabral (72')
Milenkovic (11'), Cabral (73'), Ikone (88')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
2Napoli18132327121541
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Fiorentina1795331151632
6Juventus18711030151532
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese187382328-524
10Roma185582424020
11Torino185581924-520
12Empoli184771721-419
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Parma184682534-918
15Como184682030-1018
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1860122442-1818
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
19VeneziaVenezia1834111731-1413
20Monza1817101625-910
> Serie A Full Table


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