MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 09:00:07| >> :600:1681547:1681547:
Flamengo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 29, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
3 - 0
Millonarios

Pedro (7', 44'), Pablo Vargas (25' og.)
Henrique (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Giraldo (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Flamengo and Millonarios, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Palestino
Wednesday, May 15 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Flamengo 3-0 Millonarios

While it is unusual to see Flamengo potentially on the brink of elimination at this stage, we believe their experience in win-or-go-home scenarios, along with their strong form at home, will enable them to prolong their Libertadores adventure into the last 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 75.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 8.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 3-0 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
FlamengoDrawMillonarios
75.47% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 15.77% (-0.035 -0.04) 8.76% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.3% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.79% (0.11 0.11)40.2% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.42% (0.113 0.11)62.58% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.99% (0.037000000000006 0.04)9.01% (-0.039099999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.31% (0.093000000000004 0.09)30.69% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.79% (0.042000000000002 0.04)50.21% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.2% (0.029 0.03)84.8% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 75.45%
    Millonarios 8.76%
    Draw 15.77%
FlamengoDrawMillonarios
2-0 @ 13.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.33% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.05% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.22% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 75.45%
1-1 @ 7.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 15.77%
0-1 @ 3.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 8.76%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Millonarios

Flamengo
66.7%
Draw
25.0%
Millonarios
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Millonarios
1-1
Flamengo
Ruiz (80')
Castro (21')
Vasquez (61')
Pedro (64' pen.)
Araujo (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!