MX23RW : Monday, November 18 06:34:03| >> :600:3064517:3064517:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Georgia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals
Mar 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Luxembourg national football team

Georgia
2 - 0
Luxembourg

Zivzivadze (40', 63')
Zivzivadze (21'), Kvekveskiri (78'), Kankava (87'), Kashia (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pinto (24'), Rodrigues (54'), Barreiro (66'), da Graca (82'), Martins Pereira (87'), Bohnert (90+2')
Chanot (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Georgia and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Georgia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Spain 3-1 Georgia
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Spain82021
2Scotland8917
3Norway8211
4Georgia8-68
5Cyprus8-250

Luxembourg

All competitions
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-1 Luxembourg
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Georgia 1-1 Luxembourg (a.e.t. - Georgia to win on penalties)

 With both managers forced to cope without one of their key offensive players for the semi-final, an extremely tight affair should be in store in Tbilisi, where Georgia may have previously been considered the favourites had Kvaratskhelia been available. A defensively-compact Luxembourg can therefore frustrate their visitors for 120 minutes, but when it comes to the dreaded spot kicks, home advantage may just do the trick for Sagnol's side as they prolong their dreams of Euros qualification while dashing Luxembourg's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 67.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 14.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Georgia in this match.

Result
GeorgiaDrawLuxembourg
67.63% (-1.374 -1.37) 18.08% (0.689 0.69) 14.3% (0.686 0.69)
Both teams to score 56.54% (-0.695 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.5% (-1.781 -1.78)35.5% (1.784 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.46% (-1.998 -2)57.54% (2.001 2)
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.36% (-0.786 -0.79)9.64% (0.788 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.81% (-1.875 -1.88)32.18% (1.876 1.88)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.57% (-0.223 -0.22)37.43% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.79% (-0.221 -0.22)74.21% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Georgia 67.63%
    Luxembourg 14.3%
    Draw 18.08%
GeorgiaDrawLuxembourg
2-0 @ 9.87% (0.193 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.131 0.13)
1-0 @ 8.44% (0.455 0.46)
3-0 @ 7.7% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-0 @ 4.5% (-0.24 -0.24)
4-1 @ 4.43% (-0.264 -0.26)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.144 -0.14)
5-0 @ 2.11% (-0.193 -0.19)
5-1 @ 2.07% (-0.204 -0.2)
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 67.63%
1-1 @ 8.29% (0.399 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.61% (0.315 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.08%
1-2 @ 4.08% (0.173 0.17)
0-1 @ 3.55% (0.289 0.29)
0-2 @ 1.74% (0.132 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 14.3%

How you voted: Georgia vs Luxembourg

Georgia
63.0%
Draw
19.9%
Luxembourg
17.1%
181
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2018 7pm
International Friendlies
Luxembourg
1-0
Georgia
Joachim (69')
Martins (77')
rhs 2.0
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