National League South | Gameweek 22
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Westleigh Park
Havant & W'ville4 - 3Dover Athletic
Coverage of the National League South clash between Havant & Waterlooville and Dover Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Maidstone 3-1 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Weston
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 49.67%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
Result | ||
Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Dover Athletic |
49.67% ( 0) | 23.1% ( -0) | 27.22% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 60.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.35% ( 0) | 40.64% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.96% ( 0) | 63.03% ( -0) |
Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.44% | 16.55% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.67% ( 0) | 46.32% ( -0.01) |
Dover Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.1% ( -0) | 27.89% ( -0) |