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Los Angeles FC
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Conference Semi-Finals
Nov 24, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Los Angeles
1 - 2
Seattle

Hollingshead (50')
Chanot (42'), Bogusz (77')
FT
(aet)
Chanot (59' og.), Morris (109')
Gomez Andrade (95'), Paulo (112')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Los Angeles FC and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 Vancouver
Saturday, November 9 at 3.30am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Seattle (6-7 pen.)
Sunday, November 3 at 11.30pm in MLS Playoffs

We say: Los Angeles FC 1-0 Seattle Sounders

LAFC seem to thrive in close games, and often, all they need is one chance to claim victory, which should give them an edge over a solid defensive unit this weekend, but who do not possess as much attacking depth as the Black and Gold. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Seattle Sounders win it was 0-1 (5.73%).

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSeattle Sounders
56.4% (-0.47 -0.47) 22.56% (0.349 0.35) 21.04% (0.123 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-0.979 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.51% (-1.391 -1.39)44.49% (1.394 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.14% (-1.362 -1.36)66.86% (1.363 1.36)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.42% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)15.58% (0.633 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.45% (-1.189 -1.19)44.54% (1.191 1.19)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.85% (-0.669 -0.67)35.15% (0.669 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.1% (-0.706 -0.71)71.9% (0.70800000000001 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 56.4%
    Seattle Sounders 21.04%
    Draw 22.55%
Los Angeles FCDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 10.18% (0.386 0.39)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.47% (0.157 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-0 @ 5.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.73% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.074 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 56.4%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.323 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 5.73% (0.239 0.24)
1-2 @ 5.57% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.99% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 21.04%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Seattle

Los Angeles FC
72.2%
Draw
16.7%
Seattle Sounders
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 1am
Quarter-Finals
Seattle
0-3
Los Angeles

Roldan (60')
Hollingshead (14'), Kamara (25'), Bouanga (53')
Jul 21, 2024 3.30am
Seattle
0-3
Los Angeles

Tolo (14'), Paulo (45+9'), Rothrock (55')
Bouanga (16' pen., 74'), Bogusz (26')
Bogusz (62'), Murillo (85')
Feb 24, 2024 9.30pm
Los Angeles
2-1
Seattle
Tillman (45'), Bogusz (55')
Long (72'), Tillman (89')
De la Vega (73' pen.)
Roldan (37'), Tolo (66')
Nov 27, 2023 2.30am
Seattle
0-1
Los Angeles

Tolo (20'), Atencio (40'), Paulo (66')
Bouanga (30')
Crepeau (84'), Palacios (86'), Chiellini (90')
Jun 22, 2023 3.30am
rhs 2.0
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