Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 54.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Motherwell win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
54.53% ( -0) | 22.83% ( -0) | 22.64% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56.11% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.25% ( 0.01) | 43.75% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.86% ( 0.01) | 66.13% ( -0.01) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.04% ( 0) | 15.96% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.75% ( 0.01) | 45.24% ( -0.01) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.77% ( 0.01) | 33.23% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.16% ( 0.01) | 69.84% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
2-1 @ 9.84% 1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.51% Total : 54.53% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 22.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 44 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |