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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Watford |
41.22% ( 1.33) | 25.07% ( 0.42) | 33.71% ( -1.74) |
Both teams to score 56.99% ( -1.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.56% ( -2.25) | 46.44% ( 2.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.28% ( -2.15) | 68.72% ( 2.16) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.55% ( -0.33) | 22.45% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.01% ( -0.5) | 55.99% ( 0.5) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.49% ( -2.07) | 26.52% ( 2.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.29% ( -2.84) | 61.71% ( 2.84) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.74) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.49) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.22% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.19) Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45 | 16 | 29 | 52 |
2 | Burnley | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 21 | 49 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 49 |
4 | Sunderland | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 47 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 40 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 39 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 39 |
8 | Watford | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 37 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Bristol City | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 34 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 33 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 |
13 | Millwall | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 29 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 29 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 29 |
17 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 27 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 22 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 22 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 19 |
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