Medellin

4 - 2

Cesar Vallejo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 50.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Cesar Vallejo win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.