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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 5, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Genoa logo

Lecce
0 - 0
Genoa

FT

Kasa (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Como 2-0 Lecce
Monday, December 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-2 Genoa
Saturday, December 28 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-0 Genoa

Neither side are renowned for their goalscoring prowess, so it could be a low-scoring - or even no-scoring - contest at Stadio Via del Mare. While Genoa have a good record on the road, Lecce are much tougher to beat on home turf and can hold out for a valuable point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
LecceDrawGenoa
38.06% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06) 27.26% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 34.68% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.99% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.52% (0.076000000000001 0.08)55.48% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (0.062000000000001 0.06)76.66% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74%28.26% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (0.090000000000003 0.09)30.31% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.5% (0.107 0.11)66.5% (-0.105 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 38.05%
    Genoa 34.68%
    Draw 27.26%
LecceDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 10.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.05%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.57% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.1% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 34.68%

How you voted: Lecce vs Genoa

Lecce
36.4%
Draw
37.5%
Genoa
26.1%
88
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 22
Genoa
2-1
Lecce
Retegui (70'), Ekuban (76')
Gilardino (71')
Krstovic (31')
Krstovic (57'), Ramadani (90+5')
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lecce
1-0
Genoa
Oudin (83')
Almqvist (58')

De Winter (7'), Caricol (9')
Caricol (36')
Jul 19, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 34
Genoa
2-1
Lecce
Dec 8, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 15
Lecce
2-2
Genoa
Falco (60'), Tabanelli (70')
La Mantia (21'), Lucioni (45'), Tachtsidis (55'), Petriccione (65'), Tabanelli (71')
Pandev (31'), Criscito (45' pen.)
Pajac (14'), Agudelo (18'), Criscito (67'), Pandev (73')
Agudelo (69'), Pandev (77')
Aug 11, 2018 8.15pm
Third Round
Genoa
4-0
Lecce
Piatek (2', 9', 19', 37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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