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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
Ipswich logo

Leeds
4 - 0
Ipswich

Struijk (8'), Davis (25' og.), Summerville (45' pen.), Piroe (52')
James (34')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Clarke (29'), Tuanzebe (60'), Broadhead (65'), Ball (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, December 16 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-2 Ipswich Town

We certainly anticipate a tight and high-quality encounter at Elland Road on Saturday between two of the Championship's standout sides and cannot quite pick a winner. Given the 10-point gap between them, it is Leeds who really require a victory, but Kieran McKenna's men should have what it takes to leave with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawIpswich Town
50.44% (-0.196 -0.2) 22.86% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 26.7% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 60.56% (0.139 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.07% (0.11 0.11)39.93% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.7% (0.113 0.11)62.29% (-0.119 -0.12)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)16.01% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.65% (-0.052 -0.05)45.34% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (0.19 0.19)27.89% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (0.244 0.24)63.5% (-0.251 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 50.44%
    Ipswich Town 26.7%
    Draw 22.86%
Leeds UnitedDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.18% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.44%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 26.7%

How you voted: Leeds vs Ipswich

Leeds United
55.6%
Draw
15.9%
Ipswich Town
28.6%
63
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Ipswich
3-4
Leeds
Rodon (7' og.), Broadhead (45+7'), Chaplin (90+7')
Morsy (45+5'), Luongo (56'), Woolfenden (87')
Rutter (10'), Gnonto (14'), Piroe (19'), Sinisterra (75')
Shackleton (52'), Meslier (59'), Ayling (71')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Ipswich
3-2
Leeds
Downes (30'), Dozzell (47'), Quaner (90')
Jackson (75'), Nsiala (84')
Chambers (79')
Klich (45'), Dallas (76')
Casilla (28')
Oct 24, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Leeds
2-0
Ipswich
Roofe (22'), Cooper (66')
Berardi (15')

Nolan (5'), Downes (31'), Knudsen (50')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Ipswich
1-0
Leeds
Celina (67')
Connolly (55'), Iorfa (60')

Jansson (80'), Phillips (87')
O'Kane (37')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Leeds
3-2
Ipswich
Lasogga (13'), Phillips (32'), Bialkowski (67' og.)
Cooper (72')
McGoldrick (30'), Garner (71')
Spence (3'), Knudsen (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds17105231121935
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1711422491535
3Burnley179622161533
4Sunderland1796226121433
5Watford179262624229
6Middlesbrough178362920927
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom176921811727
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn167452017325
9Millwall166641914524
10Norwich CityNorwich175753125622
11Swansea CitySwansea176471615122
12Bristol City175752021-122
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds176472026-622
14Stoke CityStoke175661920-121
15Derby CountyDerby175572122-120
16Luton TownLuton175391829-1118
17Coventry CityCoventry174582225-317
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd174581927-817
19Preston North EndPreston173861624-817
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth174581834-1617
21Cardiff CityCardiff174491526-1116
22Hull City173681623-715
23Queens Park RangersQPR172871526-1114
24Portsmouth152671628-1212


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