We said: Lens 1-0 Lyon
After winning back-to-back home games against sides competing in Europe this season last month, Lens should be confident of recording another positive result at Stade Bollaert-Delelis on Sunday night. Lyon struggled massively on the road against Rennes, and it could be a similar story here for Les Gones, who have been worryingly inconsistent so far this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Lyon |
50.49% ( -0.17) | 24% ( 0) | 25.5% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.5% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.9% ( 0.13) | 46.1% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.6% ( 0.12) | 68.4% ( -0.12) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.7% ( -0.02) | 18.3% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.62% ( -0.03) | 49.38% ( 0.03) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( 0.21) | 32.07% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.46% ( 0.24) | 68.54% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 50.49%
Lyon 25.5%
Draw 24%
| Lens | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.43% Total : 50.49% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 25.5% |
How you voted: Lens vs Lyon
Lens
70.4%Draw
19.7%Lyon
9.9%71
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 7.45pm
Dec 2, 2023 4pm
Feb 12, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 2, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 19, 2022 4pm
