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Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Oct 20, 2024 at 2pm UK
Prenton Park

Liverpool
1 - 1
Crystal Palace

Kapocs (37')
Smith (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stengel (14')
Green (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Liverpool Women and Crystal Palace Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool Women

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool 1-2 Man City
Sunday, October 13 at 3pm in Women's Super League

Crystal Palace Women

All competitions
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-1 Brighton
Sunday, October 13 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Liverpool Women 2-0 Crystal Palace Women

 Liverpool will be motivated to produce a positive response following their first WSL defeat of the season, and we think that they will bounce back by taking all three points from Sunday's home fixture against a Palace side that have lost three of their four league games this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Women win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Liverpool Women win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Liverpool WomenDrawCrystal Palace Women
35.87% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 25.24% (0.029 0.03) 38.89% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.81% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.15% (-0.128 -0.13)46.85% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.9% (-0.121 -0.12)69.1% (0.117 0.12)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)25.44% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)60.27% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Crystal Palace Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)23.8% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.03% (-0.1 -0.1)57.97% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool Women 35.87%
    Crystal Palace Women 38.89%
    Draw 25.24%
Liverpool WomenDrawCrystal Palace Women
1-0 @ 8.29% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.87%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 8.69% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.89%

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