Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica4 - 0Famalicao
We said: Benfica 3-1 Famalicao
While Benfica have experienced a dip in their league form over the last month, their cup triumphs over the last two weeks would have given them a huge momentum boost, and we feel they will come out on top in this contest, against an opponent that is winless in their last seven top-flight matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.12%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 10.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.38%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Famalicao |
73.12% ( 0.68) | 16.65% | 10.23% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 48.27% ( -2.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
