Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.02%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Bournemouth |
33.84% ( 0.89) | 22.44% ( 0.2) | 43.72% ( -1.09) |
Both teams to score 66.71% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.25% ( -0.66) | 33.76% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.41% ( -0.75) | 55.59% ( 0.76) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.54% ( 0.15) | 20.47% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.07% ( 0.24) | 52.94% ( -0.23) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.88% ( -0.66) | 16.12% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.46% ( -1.22) | 45.55% ( 1.23) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Bournemouth |
2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.98% Total : 33.84% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.09) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.76% Total : 43.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
4 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
5 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
8 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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