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Ligue 1
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Nantes

Lyon
1 - 0
Nantes

Lacazette (49')
Tagliafico (90+7')
Lovren (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Centonze (8'), Duverne (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Lyon
Friday, December 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Brest
Sunday, December 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 2-0 Nantes

 Finding the formula for defensive success under Sage's new system while also improving their ruthlessness in the final third, even a Lacazette-less Lyon can feel confident of stretching their winning sequence to three matches on Wednesday. Nantes have flattered to deceive in the final third for a number of weeks now, and despite ending their recent hoodoo against Lyon, Les Canaris will likely revert to old ways against their hosts as Sage's side give the home crowd the best Christmas gift possible. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawNantes
58.72% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04) 21.36% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 19.91% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 57% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)40.64% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.97% (0.016999999999996 0.02)63.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)13.55% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.36% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)40.63% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.94% (0.042000000000002 0.04)34.06% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (0.045000000000002 0.05)70.74% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 58.72%
    Nantes 19.91%
    Draw 21.36%
LyonDrawNantes
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.62% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 58.72%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.36%
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.68% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 19.91%

How you voted: Lyon vs Nantes

Lyon
78.8%
Draw
9.6%
Nantes
11.5%
52
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Gameweek 4
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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