Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.12%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Western United |
49.65% ( -0) | 21.18% ( 0) | 29.17% |
Both teams to score 69% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.24% ( -0) | 29.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.1% ( -0) | 50.9% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.39% ( -0) | 12.61% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.28% ( -0) | 38.71% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.95% | 21.04% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.15% ( 0) | 53.84% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 8.87% 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.69% 1-0 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.93% 4-1 @ 3.17% 4-2 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.31% 4-3 @ 1.28% 5-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.49% Total : 49.65% | 1-1 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.65% 3-3 @ 2.48% Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-1 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 3.47% 0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-4 @ 1.4% 1-4 @ 1.35% 3-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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