Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Malta had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Greece in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Greece.
0.35) 
-0.46) 
