Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Metz1 - 2Lyon
We said: Metz 0-2 Lyon
Lyon may have lost their dominant streak against a side who used to prove no match for them, but with the form book on their side as well as the return of O'Brien - a towering figure in both boxes - another fun Friday is in store for the Gones faithful. Confidence-depleted and often leaving a lot to be desired at home, Metz should be no match for their reawakaned visitors, who ought to rise into the top 10 of the rankings while speeding up their hosts' return to the second tier. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 46.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 26.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Lyon |
26.22% ( 0.01) | 27.18% ( -0) | 46.59% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.57% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
