Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
May 4, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Metz2 - 3Rennes
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gouiri (23'), Bourigeaud (73' pen.), Kalimuendo (90+3')
Truffert (44'), Theate (75'), Kalimuendo (90+6')
Truffert (44'), Theate (75'), Kalimuendo (90+6')
We said: Metz 1-3 Rennes
Rennes have won all of the last six meetings between these two teams, scoring at least three in all of the past four, and we expect that to continue with a 3-1 victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Metz had a probability of 24.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Rennes |
24.48% ( 0.18) | 24.95% ( 0.16) | 50.56% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 51.46% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
