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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Hull logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Hull City

FT(HT: 1-0)
Delap (69'), Tufan (82')
Coyle (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-0 Hull City
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Hull City

Both teams may be somewhat low on confidence following their recent defeats, but they should certainly see Wednesday's meeting as an important one in the playoff fight. Both keen to return to winning ways and particularly to avoid a third straight defeat, we see a draw as the most likely outcome at the Riverside Stadium given their similar quality and recent form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
51.27% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 23.87% (-0.02 -0.02) 24.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.27% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.91% (0.088999999999999 0.09)46.09% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.61% (0.084000000000003 0.08)68.39% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (0.036000000000001 0.04)18% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.14% (0.067999999999998 0.07)48.86% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.4% (0.052000000000007 0.05)32.6% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.87% (0.061 0.06)69.13% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 51.27%
    Hull City 24.86%
    Draw 23.87%
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 51.27%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 24.86%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Hull City

Middlesbrough
57.7%
Draw
19.2%
Hull City
23.1%
26
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 43
Middlesbrough
3-1
Hull City
Hackney (55'), Archer (58'), Akpom (61')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Hull City
1-3
Middlesbrough
Christie (60')
Akpom (30'), Figueiredo (63' og.), Christie (80' og.)
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Middlesbrough
0-1
Hull City

Crooks (16'), Tavernier (70'), Connolly (81')
Lewis-Potter (74')
McLoughlin (26'), Slater (42'), Smallwood (80'), Honeyman (85'), Docherty (89')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Hull City
2-0
Middlesbrough
Lumley (81' og.), Wilks (90+2')
Wilks (90+1')

Tavernier (7'), Peltier (58'), McNair (78')
Jul 2, 2020 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1711422491535
2Burnley179622161533
3Sunderland1796226121433
4Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
5Watford179262624229
6Middlesbrough1683529191027
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom176921811727
8Millwall166641914524
9Norwich CityNorwich175753125622
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
11Bristol City175752021-122
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds176472026-622
13Stoke CityStoke175661920-121
14Derby CountyDerby165562020020
15Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry174582225-317
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd174581927-817
19Preston North EndPreston173861624-817
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth174581834-1617
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City173681623-715
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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