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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Millwall logo

Middlesbrough
vs.
Millwall

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

We say: Middlesbrough 1-1 Millwall

Millwall will want to end the Harris era on a high and will move to within three points of Middlesbrough in the standings if they win at the Riverside Stadium this weekend. Although Millwall will be motivated to get the three points, we think that this game ends in a draw - the visitors have more draws than wins so far this season and they are capable of getting a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.93%. A draw has a probability of 26.2% and a win for Millwall has a probability of 24.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Millwall win it is 0-1 (8.35%).

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
48.93% (-0.351 -0.35) 26.2% (0.121 0.12) 24.86% (0.228 0.23)
Both teams to score 48.17% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.56% (-0.283 -0.28)55.44% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.37% (-0.232 -0.23)76.63% (0.232 0.23)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (-0.276 -0.28)22.69% (0.275 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (-0.40799999999999 -0.41)56.35% (0.409 0.41)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.31% (0.051000000000002 0.05)37.68% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.54% (0.047999999999998 0.05)74.46% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.93%
    Millwall 24.86%
    Draw 26.19%
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.68% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.41% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.65% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 48.93%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.55% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 8.35% (0.102 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.07% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 24.86%

Who will win Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Millwall?

Middlesbrough
Draw
Millwall
Middlesbrough
57.1%
Draw
42.9%
Millwall
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 27
Millwall
1-3
Middlesbrough
Bryan (10')
Honeyman (45+4'), Longman (51'), Bryan (80')
Engel (38'), Jones (58'), Forss (90+5')
Engel (66')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
0-1
Millwall

Howson (80')
Esse (79')
Bryan (25'), Nisbet (46'), Cooper (80')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
0-0
Middlesbrough
Cooper (4'), Ballard (16'), Malone (19'), Wallace (34')
Jones (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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