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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 16.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Rotherham United |
62.22% ( 0.22) | 21.62% ( -0.09) | 16.16% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 48.89% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.17% ( 0.11) | 47.83% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.98% ( 0.1) | 70.02% ( -0.11) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.19% ( 0.11) | 14.81% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.9% ( 0.21) | 43.1% ( -0.21) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.39% ( -0.11) | 42.6% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.04% ( -0.09) | 78.95% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Rotherham United |
1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 62.21% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 16.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 35 |
2 | Burnley | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 33 |
3 | Sunderland | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
5 | Watford | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 29 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 27 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 22 |
10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
11 | Bristol City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 17 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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