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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Stoke logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Stoke

Doak (34'), Hackney (73')
Edmundson (43'), Hackney (45+1'), Doak (56'), Azaz (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Burger (11'), Manhoef (27'), Wilmot (39'), Cannon (42'), Tchamadeu (59'), Gallagher (69'), Rose (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-3 Hull City
Friday, September 20 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Stoke City

The travelling fans will be hoping that their side can start this game much better than they finished the last one. Nevertheless, though, we are backing Boro to come through with the three points, gaining revenge for the hammering that they took from the Potters last month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
45.99% (0.589 0.59) 25.09% (-0.157 -0.16) 28.91% (-0.43 -0.43)
Both teams to score 54.7% (0.241 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57% (0.439 0.44)48.43% (-0.438 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (0.4 0.4)70.56% (-0.398 -0.4)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.444 0.44)21.08% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (0.686 0.69)53.9% (-0.685 -0.69)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)30.68% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.07% (-0.101 -0.1)66.93% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 45.99%
    Stoke City 28.91%
    Draw 25.09%
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.095 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 45.99%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 28.91%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Stoke

Middlesbrough
66.7%
Draw
13.9%
Stoke City
19.4%
36
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2024 7.15pm
Second Round
Middlesbrough
0-5
Stoke
Tezgel (14'), Mmaee (57'), Koumas (60'), Manhoef (65', 69')
McCabe (77')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Stoke
2-0
Middlesbrough
Bae (40'), Baker (71')
Laurent (46'), Wilmot (51'), Ennis (62')

Latte Lath (51')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Middlesbrough
0-2
Stoke

McNair (53'), van den Berg (57')
Rose (8'), Leris (37')
Thompson (69'), Stevens (90+2')
Mar 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
1-1
Stoke
Akpom (23')
Hoever (45')
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
2-2
Middlesbrough
Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds17105231121935
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1711422491535
3Burnley179622161533
4Sunderland1796226121433
5Watford179262624229
6Middlesbrough178362920927
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom176921811727
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn167452017325
9Millwall166641914524
10Norwich CityNorwich175753125622
11Swansea CitySwansea176471615122
12Bristol City175752021-122
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds176472026-622
14Stoke CityStoke175661920-121
15Derby CountyDerby175572122-120
16Luton TownLuton175391829-1118
17Coventry CityCoventry174582225-317
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd174581927-817
19Preston North EndPreston173861624-817
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth174581834-1617
21Cardiff CityCardiff174491526-1116
22Hull City173681623-715
23Queens Park RangersQPR172871526-1114
24Portsmouth152671628-1212


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