Uruguayan Primera Division
Aug 4, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional1 - 1Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Boston River
Sunday, July 28 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, July 28 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
49
Last Game: Penarol 1-0 Defensor
Saturday, July 27 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, July 27 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
39
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Penarol |
42.74% ( -0.15) | 26.85% ( -0.07) | 30.41% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 50.03% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
