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Serie A
Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
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Napoli
1 - 0
Roma

Lukaku (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

N'Dicka (38'), Pisilli (60'), Cristante (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-3 Bologna
Sunday, November 10 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-0 Roma

 As Roma are in disarray, it might take Claudio Ranieri some time to turn things around; meanwhile, Napoli are already a well-oiled machine. After letting the chasing pack close within striking distance of top spot, the Partenopei should be ready to go again, resuming normal service with another home win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Roma had a probability of 23.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
NapoliDrawRoma
51.35% (-0.197 -0.2) 25% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 23.65% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 50.44% (0.175 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.15% (0.128 0.13)51.85% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.39% (0.112 0.11)73.6% (-0.114 -0.11)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)20.19% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.51% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)52.49% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.2% (0.24299999999999 0.24)36.8% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.41% (0.243 0.24)73.58% (-0.244 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 51.34%
    Roma 23.65%
    Draw 25%
NapoliDrawRoma
1-0 @ 11.88% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 51.34%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.43% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.71% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 23.65%

How you voted: Napoli vs Roma

Napoli
80.3%
Draw
13.4%
Roma
6.3%
127
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
2-2
Roma
Olivera (64'), Osimhen (84' pen.)
Rrahmani (75'), Zambo Anguissa (80')
Dybala (59' pen.), Abraham (88')
> Preview
Dec 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Roma
2-0
Napoli
Pellegrini (76'), Lukaku (90+6')
Paredes (28'), Kristensen (32'), Mourinho (32'), Cristante (38'), Belotti (60'), Zalewski (66'), El Shaarawy (81'), Azmoun (90+5')

Rui (28'), Mazzarri (31'), Jesus (62'), Osimhen (73')
Politano (66'), Osimhen (86')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Napoli
2-1
Roma
Osimhen (17'), Simeone (86')
El Shaarawy (75')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Roma
0-1
Napoli
Osimhen (80')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Napoli
1-1
Roma
Insigne (11' pen.)
Koulibaly (37'), Zanoli (52'), Lozano (63'), Insigne (64')
El Shaarawy (90+1')
Cristante (17'), Zaniolo (71')
Fuzato (79')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113
> Serie A Full Table


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