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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
52.35% ( -1.31) | 22.45% ( 0.32) | 25.2% ( 1) |
Both teams to score 60.53% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.69% ( -0.48) | 39.31% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.36% ( -0.51) | 61.64% ( 0.51) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.87% ( -0.6) | 15.13% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.3% ( -1.15) | 43.7% ( 1.16) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.32% ( 0.53) | 28.68% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.5% ( 0.65) | 64.5% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.95% Total : 52.35% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.43% Total : 25.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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